Does “the belt & road” initiative promote the trade potential of participating countries? ——A “Quasi-natural” experiment design based on PPML model

The “Belt & Road” Initiative (B&R) is China’s international cooperation initiative proposed in 2013, which aims to promote regional economic development and common prosperity. Not only B&R important for development, but also it helps adjust improve relevant policies. trade potential of 100 countries between 2008-2017 analysed by using the PPML model. This paper finds that has brought advantages participating countries. It significantly promoted through influencing tariff levels, infrastructure natural environment, scale, urbanization level unemployment rate. should be further better develop policy advantages. More can induced participate reducing frictions cooperation.